3D CME Parametrization

2013-12-6 · 3D CME Parametrization ‐ Comparison of GCS and techniques andENLIL applications ... Half Angle, Cone [deg] 16 .. 40 79% Speed [km/s] 200 .. 1000 90% CME Forecast ENLIL CME arrival time Prediction Alert on AFFECTS website derived quantities: CME Direction Velocity

Determination of CME 3D parameters based on a new full …

In space weather forecast, it is important to determine three-dimensional properties of CMEs. Using 29 limb CMEs, we examine which cone type is close to a CME three-dimensional structure. We find that most CMEs have near full ice-cream cone structure which is a symmetrical circular cone combined with a hemisphere. We develop a full ice-cream cone model based on a new methodology that the full ...

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Comparison of the CME-associated shock arrival times at ...

We have made a comparison of CME-associated shock arrival times at the earth based on the WSA-ENLIL model with three cone models using 29 halo CMEs from 2001 to 2002. These halo CMEs have cone model parameters from Michalek et al. (2007) as well as their associated interplanetary (IP) shocks. For this study we consider three different cone models (an asymmetric cone model, an ice-cream cone ...

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Dependence of Geomagnetic Storms on Their Associated …

2014-1-24 · We compare the geoeffective parameters of halo coronal mass ejections (CMEs). We consider 50 front-side full-halo CMEs (FFH CMEs), which are from the list of Michalek, Gopalswamy, and Yashiro (Solar Phys. 246, 399, 2007), whose asymmetric-cone model parameters and earthward-direction parameter were available. For each CME we use its projected velocity [V p], radial velocity [V …

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Comparison of the WSA-ENLIL model with three cone …

2013-7-24 · 2.2 CME cone model The elliptical cone model (Xie et al., 2004, Figure 3a) is an analytic method developed by Zhao et al. (2002). This model assumes that the shape of a HCME is symmetrical circular and the projection of the cone is an ellipse. Figure 2. The structures of the cone models: (a) the elliptical cone model,

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Comparison of 3-D CME parameters derived from single …

2014-8-13 · The ice-cream cone model (Xue et al. 2005) for single-view observations, assumes that the shape of a CME is a symmetrical cone with a sphere like an ice-cream. The ice-cream cone structure is described in Figure 3a. To obtain the cone model parameters, we first measure the projection speeds

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Verification of Real-Time WSA-ENLIL+Cone Simulations of ...

2018-3-26 · The Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA)-ENLIL+Cone model is used extensively in space weather operations world-wide to model coronal mass ejection (CME) propagation. As such, it is important to assess its performance. We present validation results of the WSA-ENLIL+Cone model installed at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC) and executed in real-time by the CCMC space …

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Comparison of interplanetary CME arrival times and solar ...

2014-9-8 · Comparison of peak values of (a, c, e) solar wind speed and (b, d, f) density between model results and observations after the CME shock arrival time: (Figures 3a and 3b) the WSA-ENLIL model with the elliptical cone model, (Figures 3c and 3d) the ice cream cone model, and (Figures 3e and 3f) the asymmetric cone model. Dashed line corresponds to ...

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